Hedging a bet on what the car would be worth. Simulation & #'s inside
#1
Le Mans Master
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St. Jude Donor '05
Hedging a bet on what the car would be worth. Simulation & #'s inside
Question,
I wish C7s leased well as I don't keep cars long, however, my CU has a smart purchase option with a balloon payment.
I thought it was interesting to look at... curious what some of you think about the numbers as this almost simulates a lease type deal.
Here is an example:
2016 C7 1LT A8
MSRP $58,144
48 months of payments (4 years) of $549 (tax included).
The car would see around 40-44K miles at the end of the 4 year term.
The "final payment" is $29,197 - Tax Included
So the question is.. fast forward 4 years from today, 5/6/20 - a 2016 1LT C7 A8... is it worth $29,197 with 42K miles?
If it is, this is a great deal to drive a car 10-12k miles a year, for $549 / mo with tax included in the payment (7% in NJ).
Thanks for looking and for your input. If anyone wants other #s I can simulate others. 3LT, Z06, etc. Just need, year, model, trans, etc.
As a kicker, I put in a 2012 C6, A6... 42K miles (keep in mind in 2020, there won't be a C8 out yet), so the C6 might be worth less due to the fact its a model change behind. KBB Trade in value is $30,296
I wish C7s leased well as I don't keep cars long, however, my CU has a smart purchase option with a balloon payment.
I thought it was interesting to look at... curious what some of you think about the numbers as this almost simulates a lease type deal.
Here is an example:
2016 C7 1LT A8
MSRP $58,144
48 months of payments (4 years) of $549 (tax included).
The car would see around 40-44K miles at the end of the 4 year term.
The "final payment" is $29,197 - Tax Included
So the question is.. fast forward 4 years from today, 5/6/20 - a 2016 1LT C7 A8... is it worth $29,197 with 42K miles?
If it is, this is a great deal to drive a car 10-12k miles a year, for $549 / mo with tax included in the payment (7% in NJ).
Thanks for looking and for your input. If anyone wants other #s I can simulate others. 3LT, Z06, etc. Just need, year, model, trans, etc.
As a kicker, I put in a 2012 C6, A6... 42K miles (keep in mind in 2020, there won't be a C8 out yet), so the C6 might be worth less due to the fact its a model change behind. KBB Trade in value is $30,296
Last edited by Z0Sick6; 05-06-2016 at 10:20 AM.
#2
Instructor
I was thinking of doing that with an automatic 16 Z06 1lz. Can you run those?
I think I saw some one post that penfed does those type of loans. Could be wrong.
I think I saw some one post that penfed does those type of loans. Could be wrong.
#4
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St. Jude Donor '05
I need the amount you are borrowing - so if the car is 85K and you put down 10K, then you tell me $75K... if its $88,430 with tax included and you want to put nothing down, then tell me $88,430. These make the most sense with no money out of pocket IMO and throwing tax in there too..
I need year, model, and trans, and if its used (can do 2014-Present. Used can go back 2 model years). Need the mileage of the car as well if its used.
Also, the term (months), can do 36, 48, 60... 60 will keep your payment the lowest.
Last edited by Z0Sick6; 05-06-2016 at 11:00 AM.
#5
Instructor
I was thinking new z06. 2016 1lz auto. Given that I have a trade I save on the tax so I'll be at 84,525 w/ tax. I'd def do 60 months to keep it low like you said.
#6
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St. Jude Donor '05
Final Payment
$38,953
Leasing a Z06 is like 1200-1300+ a month. Obviously if you get rid of it before 5 years, you will be able to see the current pay out as time goes on... First year might depreciate more than $903 a month, but definitely not 2nd year onward.
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#9
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Payment with tax is $903/month.
Final Payment
$38,953
Leasing a Z06 is like 1200-1300+ a month. Obviously if you get rid of it before 5 years, you will be able to see the current pay out as time goes on... First year might depreciate more than $903 a month, but definitely not 2nd year onward.
Final Payment
$38,953
Leasing a Z06 is like 1200-1300+ a month. Obviously if you get rid of it before 5 years, you will be able to see the current pay out as time goes on... First year might depreciate more than $903 a month, but definitely not 2nd year onward.
Thanks,
Syber
#10
Melting Slicks
I think you will come out ok with the car worth at least the balloon balance.
#11
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St. Jude Donor '05
New is 2.49%, Used (2014-2016) is 3.24%.
Excellent rates for this type of option to give buyers for cars that don't lease well but typically hold their value well at the 4-5+ year mark (which the corvette has historically done)
#12
Ok, I don't understand... If MSRP is $58K, and "balloon" is $29K, then projected $29K of depreciation over 48 months is $604/mo... the $549 doesn't even cover the depreciation, let alone interest.
What are the actual terms of the "balloon" payment... something doesn't add up.
What are the actual terms of the "balloon" payment... something doesn't add up.
#13
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St. Jude Donor '05
Ok, I don't understand... If MSRP is $58K, and "balloon" is $29K, then projected $29K of depreciation over 48 months is $604/mo... the $549 doesn't even cover the depreciation, let alone interest.
What are the actual terms of the "balloon" payment... something doesn't add up.
What are the actual terms of the "balloon" payment... something doesn't add up.
Last edited by Z0Sick6; 05-06-2016 at 02:25 PM.
#14
Le Mans Master
58144 msrp less 11% discount=51749 plus 7% tax= final cost of 55371 if you bought the car. VS.
lease of 549X48mos.=26352 plus balloon of 29197=55549 toal cost of lease after 4 yrs. Conclusion is better to lease in this situation as, although the finals costs are almost the same, you get to keep parts of you money longer and get investment income on.
lease of 549X48mos.=26352 plus balloon of 29197=55549 toal cost of lease after 4 yrs. Conclusion is better to lease in this situation as, although the finals costs are almost the same, you get to keep parts of you money longer and get investment income on.
#15
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St. Jude Donor '05
58144 msrp less 11% discount=51749 plus 7% tax= final cost of 55371 if you bought the car. VS.
lease of 549X48mos.=26352 plus balloon of 29197=55549 toal cost of lease after 4 yrs. Conclusion is better to lease in this situation as, although the finals costs are almost the same, you get to keep parts of you money longer and get investment income on.
lease of 549X48mos.=26352 plus balloon of 29197=55549 toal cost of lease after 4 yrs. Conclusion is better to lease in this situation as, although the finals costs are almost the same, you get to keep parts of you money longer and get investment income on.
#16
58144 msrp less 11% discount=51749 plus 7% tax= final cost of 55371 if you bought the car. VS.
lease of 549X48mos.=26352 plus balloon of 29197=55549 toal cost of lease after 4 yrs. Conclusion is better to lease in this situation as, although the finals costs are almost the same, you get to keep parts of you money longer and get investment income on.
lease of 549X48mos.=26352 plus balloon of 29197=55549 toal cost of lease after 4 yrs. Conclusion is better to lease in this situation as, although the finals costs are almost the same, you get to keep parts of you money longer and get investment income on.
Anyone who wants to lend me $55.4K for $4/mo, I'm all in.
There are pieces missing here.
#17
Le Mans Master
I was using the numbers the OP provided in his post without making a judgement on the validity of the numbers.