Downward trend in sales continue
#42
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They will continue to drop. None of this should be a surprise:
1. Car sales continue to fall as the trend is to buy trucks and SUV's.
2. The C7 hit dealer lots in 2013. It's 2018 with very little changes since 2013. Most people who bought a Corvette by now did and with little changes there is not much reason to trade up.
3. Used market. There are tons of low mileage used ones. Some people (raises hand) went that route vs buying new.
4. There are 2017's, 18's, and now 19's on the lots with not that much difference in pricing. It's a bizarre time to buy a new Corvette for sure.
1. Car sales continue to fall as the trend is to buy trucks and SUV's.
2. The C7 hit dealer lots in 2013. It's 2018 with very little changes since 2013. Most people who bought a Corvette by now did and with little changes there is not much reason to trade up.
3. Used market. There are tons of low mileage used ones. Some people (raises hand) went that route vs buying new.
4. There are 2017's, 18's, and now 19's on the lots with not that much difference in pricing. It's a bizarre time to buy a new Corvette for sure.
I think the Grand Sport should have been introduced with a HP bump compared to the Stingray and I think the Z06 should have gotten a similar styling tweak to help improve the cooling, similar to the ZR1 front fascia. Nothing to take away the thunder of the ZR1, just something slightly less aggressive, yet functional.
I guess it's a good thing from a resale perspective that you could place a 2014 Torch Red Stingray Z51 next to a 2019 Torch Red Stingray Z51 and not tell the difference. Or 99% of humans on the planet could not tell the difference.
#43
Refreshes within generation can be a double-edge sword. While some love the changes, there's always folks on the other side, who do not like them. Some have been fails, attracting some new customers, but causing existing ones to hold on to what they have.
The ZR1 is not the best example because it takes the C7 to another level, but I really don't like the looks of that nose. I do realize it's necessary for cooling. However, I've seen analogous changes on other makes for no other reason than just to change up the look.
The ZR1 is not the best example because it takes the C7 to another level, but I really don't like the looks of that nose. I do realize it's necessary for cooling. However, I've seen analogous changes on other makes for no other reason than just to change up the look.
Last edited by Foosh; 03-02-2018 at 08:07 AM.
#44
Team Owner
Not by 40%
GM sales since 2014 in the US and Canada.
2014....................2,935,007
2015....................3,082,358
2016....................3,042,773
2017....................3,002,237
2018(Jan & Feb).......198,548
Now compare the "drop" in sales for the Corvette since 2014........
GM sales since 2014 in the US and Canada.
2014....................2,935,007
2015....................3,082,358
2016....................3,042,773
2017....................3,002,237
2018(Jan & Feb).......198,548
Now compare the "drop" in sales for the Corvette since 2014........
Last edited by JoesC5; 03-02-2018 at 08:36 AM.
#45
Team Owner
Not really. Since 2017 it's been very minor. I have a 2016 and while it's got a lot of things a 2014 doesn't the latter model years have almost no changes.
All true, but base sales are not being driven by new high end models. The GS is the exception but it also cannibalizes base sales.
So the fact remains that not doing a refresh hurts sales.
All true, but base sales are not being driven by new high end models. The GS is the exception but it also cannibalizes base sales.
So the fact remains that not doing a refresh hurts sales.
#46
Team Owner
Right I have a White 2016 Z51 with Carplay, PDR, etc. Unless I upgraded to a Z06 or maybe a GS (which is not a huge upgrade from a Z51 with magride) I would just be pissing money away.
Nobody would even know the difference if I got a 2019 Z51 in the same color.
And even a refresh would not mean a sales bump. The refreshed Mustang (2018) that had some significant changes also had a 30% drop year over year.
I think pat of this is incentives as well as just how expensive cars are now.
Nobody would even know the difference if I got a 2019 Z51 in the same color.
And even a refresh would not mean a sales bump. The refreshed Mustang (2018) that had some significant changes also had a 30% drop year over year.
I think pat of this is incentives as well as just how expensive cars are now.
Moral to this story...be careful what you wish for, as the "new" might not be as appealing as the "old".
#47
Team Owner
Right, not disagreeing with that.
But for anyone who has a 2016 or later narrow body C7 the reasons for upgrading are nearly zero unless they are switching to a Grand Sport, Z06, or ZR1. So once that pent up demand for 2014 and 2015 owners to upgrade is satisfied the demand for this generation from existing customers will pretty much be zero.
Most cars rely on repeat customers refreshing their car every 2-4 years. Conquest sales are actually pretty low percentage wise.
Sales are driven by change, and after 3 model years Corvettes change historically slows way down. The C6 after 2009 had some minor changes on the base cars (speakers and seats to name a few) and with the economy in the toilet, sales basically imploded.
But for anyone who has a 2016 or later narrow body C7 the reasons for upgrading are nearly zero unless they are switching to a Grand Sport, Z06, or ZR1. So once that pent up demand for 2014 and 2015 owners to upgrade is satisfied the demand for this generation from existing customers will pretty much be zero.
Most cars rely on repeat customers refreshing their car every 2-4 years. Conquest sales are actually pretty low percentage wise.
Sales are driven by change, and after 3 model years Corvettes change historically slows way down. The C6 after 2009 had some minor changes on the base cars (speakers and seats to name a few) and with the economy in the toilet, sales basically imploded.
Last edited by JoesC5; 03-02-2018 at 08:56 AM.
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#48
Le Mans Master
Not by 40%
GM sales since 2014 in the US and Canada.
2014....................2,935,007
2015....................3,082,358
2016....................3,042,773
2017....................3,002,237
2018(Jan & Feb).......198,548
Now compare the "drop" in sales for the Corvette since 2014........
GM sales since 2014 in the US and Canada.
2014....................2,935,007
2015....................3,082,358
2016....................3,042,773
2017....................3,002,237
2018(Jan & Feb).......198,548
Now compare the "drop" in sales for the Corvette since 2014........
Also as keeps getting pointed out almost every car sees a drop in sales the following year after a new model is introduced. The Corvette was completley redesigned from the ground up in for the 2014 model year and got a lot of positive press and dealers could not keep them on the lot. We are now on the 5th model year of the C7 with no major changes. With car sales down and the C7 stagnant, it has nowhere to go but down unless GM ofers ridiculous incentives to move them but even then that would just be temporary as only so many people are looking to buy a 2 seater performance car with a V8.
#49
Le Mans Master
After Ford spent $2B to redesign their first generation Taurus, sales dropped by 1/3rd due to the ugly rear window design. Ford immediately went back to the drawing board, and spent a huge amount of money to change the rear window design from an oval to a rectangular shape, and sales went back to normal after the change.
Moral to this story...be careful what you wish for, as the "new" might not be as appealing as the "old".
Moral to this story...be careful what you wish for, as the "new" might not be as appealing as the "old".
I think we are hitting a point where most Americans simply cannot afford $50K. Just a few years ago a loaded Mustang was maybe in the high $30's.
Last edited by thill444; 03-02-2018 at 09:05 AM.
#50
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Makes sense. With how cold and snowy this winter has been for most of the country, I’m not surprised that buyers are sitting home. Weather has a big effect on people’s motivation to buy.
I doubt anticipation of an upcoming mid-engined model has a significant chilling effect on buying.
I doubt anticipation of an upcoming mid-engined model has a significant chilling effect on buying.
That was correct! In fact folks like Kerbeck (where I ordered mine) had a large inventory and were probably buying more for stock than normal (they are the largest Vette dealer and were selling 25/week) as they had a better idea than myself of the upcoming shortage! In fact as we were into the shutdown their inventory was depleting and Verts, for example, were in very short supply!
As expected their discounts (and others) were decreasing dramatically! Why not, with a limited supply and new orders not coming in that is what I would do! Why put yourself in a no stock position!
#51
Le Mans Master
Because of price and depreciation. Cars cost a lot more now and depreciate at the same rate as before and people are financing for much longer than previously. My last two purchases dealers were pushing 84 month auto loans. 84 months!
#52
Burning Brakes
Last year I was looking and did order a 2017 Grand Sport around this time because discounts were vey high and I was anticipating the long several month shut down as the plant was closing in the summer when there would be a high demand for Vettes!
That was correct! In fact folks like Kerbeck (where I ordered mine) had a large inventory and were probably buying more for stock than normal (they are the largest Vette dealer and were selling 25/week) as they had a better idea than myself of the upcoming shortage! In fact as we were into the shutdown their inventory was depleting and Verts, for example, were in very short supply!
As expected their discounts (and others) were decreasing dramatically! Why not, with a limited supply and new orders not coming in that is what I would do! Why put yourself in a no stock position!
That was correct! In fact folks like Kerbeck (where I ordered mine) had a large inventory and were probably buying more for stock than normal (they are the largest Vette dealer and were selling 25/week) as they had a better idea than myself of the upcoming shortage! In fact as we were into the shutdown their inventory was depleting and Verts, for example, were in very short supply!
As expected their discounts (and others) were decreasing dramatically! Why not, with a limited supply and new orders not coming in that is what I would do! Why put yourself in a no stock position!
#53
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There are a lot of 2-3 year leases in the luxury space, and while I think that doesn't apply as much to Corvette, the mindset I think still does.
#54
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I have to respectively disagree here. It wasn't until G/M started offering massive discounts that inventory started moving. G/M over produced just before the shutdown. If you saw pics of the factory storage lot it was full and not moving. G/M over built and under sold until they started offering massive discounts.
Since you can't manufacture product for a set period of time, you over produce a mix of cars you "think" people will order.
It's just how "build-outs" are done. It's better to have to discount the cars later than to lose sales entirely because you have no product to sell a customer.
#55
Le Mans Master
GM overproduced before the shutdown because that is what you DO.
Since you can't manufacture product for a set period of time, you over produce a mix of cars you "think" people will order.
It's just how "build-outs" are done. It's better to have to discount the cars later than to lose sales entirely because you have no product to sell a customer.
Since you can't manufacture product for a set period of time, you over produce a mix of cars you "think" people will order.
It's just how "build-outs" are done. It's better to have to discount the cars later than to lose sales entirely because you have no product to sell a customer.
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#56
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They will continue to drop. None of this should be a surprise:
1. Car sales continue to fall as the trend is to buy trucks and SUV's.
2. The C7 hit dealer lots in 2013. It's 2018 with very little changes since 2013. Most people who bought a Corvette by now did and with little changes there is not much reason to trade up.
3. Used market. There are tons of low mileage used ones. Some people (raises hand) went that route vs buying new.
4. There are 2017's, 18's, and now 19's on the lots with not that much difference in pricing. It's a bizarre time to buy a new Corvette for sure.
1. Car sales continue to fall as the trend is to buy trucks and SUV's.
2. The C7 hit dealer lots in 2013. It's 2018 with very little changes since 2013. Most people who bought a Corvette by now did and with little changes there is not much reason to trade up.
3. Used market. There are tons of low mileage used ones. Some people (raises hand) went that route vs buying new.
4. There are 2017's, 18's, and now 19's on the lots with not that much difference in pricing. It's a bizarre time to buy a new Corvette for sure.
#57
Melting Slicks
Maybe.....since the '19 started production late in Jan,perhaps many folks skipped the short cycle '18 and waited for the '19's to hit the lot.
Just speculation on my part.
\db2
Just speculation on my part.
\db2
#58
a C8/ZR1 from the go
#59
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Plus I think also like one has said above wanting to see the c8 Plus with starting price on the low end c8 going to be 70,k That will be great for a v8 4 cam & also over 500 hp car. Robert
#60
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Yes. I was ready to pull the trigger on a 2018 Z06 and then all the news about the ZR1 made me hold off. And then there was the paint shop. I wanted to wait and see if the paint was any better. Then....the mid engine. Oh well I'll just hold off a couple of years. I already have a fine running Vette, so I can wait. If not for the paint, ZR1, and mid engine I know I would be sitting in a Z06 now. But who knows. I may get the urge again soon.
Last edited by joemessman; 03-02-2018 at 11:10 AM.