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Midyear Bubble

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Old Mar 27, 2007 | 08:20 AM
  #21  
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Originally Posted by provette67

I have been around this hobby for a long time now.Back in 1987-1990 the prices made a huge jump.With a picture of a red '67 big block car appearing on the cover of MotorTrend with a front license plate that showed $100,000 on it.The car looked exactly like the car I bought at Bloomington in 1986 for $27K.The article went on to say that that was where the price of those cars were headed.Well the frenzy was on.Junk was selling for too much money.People who knew nothing about these cars were getting into buying them and selling them and were making some nice money even when they made bad mistakes.Then came the early '90's.The prices started to fall.The speculators started to dump.But the real nice cars still brought top money.It was the fringe cars that took the hit.The people who had bought cars for big money that looked like the big money cars but in actuality were just a made up P.O.S got caught holding the bag.There was still a bunch of money to be made.The people who jumped in as investors and were not real car lovers wanted out.Well some of them had some really nice cars.They did not have the knowledge to realize that.They considered it just like any other investment and wanted out fast.The result were some great deals on some really nice cars by some smart car buyers/lovers.The other people who just loved their cars weather or not they were worth a ton of money kept them anyway.Then as with just everything else the cycle started again these cars took another up turn.So here we go again.I am ready to buy some nice cars on their way down A good rule is nice cars will always bring good money.And always buy what you like.That way the worst case scenario you end up with a nice car that you like

ps.
ask Solidaxle about his '62 that at the time he bought it some expert said that he paid too much.Now it is still worth twice what he paid in a down market.
Gee I wonder who that expert was? Overpaid, did I?
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Old Mar 27, 2007 | 08:56 AM
  #22  
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Originally Posted by Dannoman
I really wish the mods would delete this thread, or at the very least move it to an appropriate forum. This section is for members that are trying to sell their car....not to speculate as to what the classic car market will do in the coming months. Your intent may have been to help.......but you're sure not doing these sellers any favors.


Danno

This IS the general discussion forum. Discuss at will. Fairly interesting so far.
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Old Mar 27, 2007 | 10:01 AM
  #23  
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Way too much worry about money. You can't take it with you. The cars are expensive and so are the modifications and parts we all love to play with. I'm just very happy in my middle age years to be able to afford the fun!!!

Save the Wave!

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Old Mar 27, 2007 | 10:15 AM
  #24  
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Originally Posted by geo1rem
Over the past two or so years while attended swap meets in Knoxville, Panama Beach, and Kissimmee, the vast majority of the people attending these meets were 50+ years of age. Where are the younger (future) corvette passionate humans. Who will buy these Old Corvettes when we die off?
Ahh yes. No offense but my "young" *** cant wait to get my hands on your vettes!!

Now I only have to wait 30 or so years!
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Old Mar 27, 2007 | 10:24 AM
  #25  
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Just to reasure you all about interest of the next generation for midyears and other muscle cars. My 17 year old son absolutly loves my 2003 Z06... duhh... but when I told him I was buying my 66 he went nuts. When I got it home he took about 50 pictures with his phone and sent them to his friends. In about 10 minutes there was a crowd of 17/18 year old kidds drooling all over my car. Everyone of them said that one day they will have one. These cars can not be compared to the 30s and 40s cars that where very primative. Those cars in original condition have no great appeal to todays kids who are used to cars that handle very well and stop well. Corvettes where cutting edge technology and the looks are timeless.
As for corvette values, I have been saying for some time that they are overpriced. Just look at the E-bay completed sales, and you will see that 19 out of 20 cars go unsold. IMHO the speculators ruin every market they touch and the corvette market is no exception. How can I say that? Just as wall street has weakened this countries companies by demanding higher profits every quarter and so failing to reward reaserch and investment for the future, rewarding CEOs that just artificialy inflate stock prices while they destroy the value of our best companies. The speculators in the corvette market are the ones that you can thank for the proliferation of restamped blocks, forged paperwork and alltogether forged cars. As I have no intention of ever selling my car, I don't care. But you investors should. The closest thing that you have to the SEC is the NCRS, but they have no legal authority and so can't protect you from the sharks that infest every speculation market. Every forged 67 427 435 makes yours less rare and more suspect. Thats why I don't invest in cars or wall street. I invest in myself and in the company that I built. I will never let people who dont know my business tell me how to run it or let thieves who tell me they will make me rich steal it from me, and in my most humble oppinion that is the way to make money in this country. It was that way in the past, it is that way today, and it will be that way in the future.
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Old Mar 27, 2007 | 10:24 AM
  #26  
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Originally Posted by kenEDMUNDS

This IS the general discussion forum. Discuss at will. Fairly interesting so far.
Ken,
This thread was initially posted in the 'For Sale' section of the forum.....hence my comment.

Danno
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Old Mar 27, 2007 | 10:31 AM
  #27  
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I seriously doubt that this will result in a flood of cheap Mid-years...however we should expect a fire sale of McMansions, big screen TV's, and high-end luxury SUVs....
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Old Mar 27, 2007 | 10:33 AM
  #28  
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It's all just speculation. You don't any know better then anyone else what's going to happen to prices. So what should you do? Go out and buy a new car that is absolutely going to depreciate? Drive that old POS that you don't enjoy driving, but it's saving you money? If you are on this forum, I venture to say you are not the picture of being frugle / practical or you wouldn't have a Corvette.

I take the train to work everyday, so I have a "Train Car" that gets me back and forth to the station. For me the choice was a new Z06 at $70K+ that was almost surely going to depreciate, or an old C2 for less cash that I hope will at least hold it's value. If it goes up in value that's great, but I'm going to enjoy it either way!
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Old Mar 27, 2007 | 12:12 PM
  #29  
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Originally Posted by geo1rem
Points well taken, they all have merit.
QUESTION: Is this my imiagniation? Over the past two or so years while attended swap meets in Knoxville, Panama Beach, and Kissimmee, the vast majority of the people attending these meets were 50+ years of age. Where are the younger (future) corvette passionate humans. Who will buy these Old Corvettes when we die off?
ANSWER: Who cares, we will be DEAD So, don't concern youself with the economics of you hobby, buy one, drive it and enjoy it. Give it to you kids or grand kid and hope they will cary on the passion you once had.
As most of us agree. If the buyer and the seller are satisfied with the deal, it's a Win Win situtation. Once the deal has been made the cost is no longer a factor. Everyone is happy.
I bought it to drive till I die, so I really don't give a S%^& .
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Old Mar 27, 2007 | 12:56 PM
  #30  
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Relatively speaking, some old business adages that come to mind are:

If you think it will appreciate-buy it.
If you think it will depreciate-lease or rent it.

Buy smart, sell smart.

Oak Trees don't grow to the sky.

Prices will always ebb & flow, and trends will come & go.
--------------------------------------
OK, OK, I know...

But, these same business sayings have also applied to nearly any collectible or any other perceived investment: Real estate, prized cars, precious metals, antiques, stamps, coins, art, books, tulip bulbs, beeny babies , autographs, memorabillia, etc.

So my take is, since I can't control the markets, I bought what I wanted, because I seriously doubted I will experience the same enjoyment from the wind in my hair, or the sound of side pipes in the hereafter; so "Damn the Torpedos! Full Speed Ahead"!
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Old Mar 27, 2007 | 01:26 PM
  #31  
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My final say in this speculation: YOU CAN'T ENJOY WHAT YOU DON'T HAVE!
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Old Mar 27, 2007 | 01:40 PM
  #32  
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Originally Posted by Dannoman
Ken,
This thread was initially posted in the 'For Sale' section of the forum.....hence my comment.

Danno
Oh! My bad. In retrospect it was kind of a wierd post.
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Old Mar 27, 2007 | 02:46 PM
  #33  
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Emaples of previous auto bubbles:

Well,
in the late 1970's '55-'57 T-birds were hot at over $50K, by the early 1980's, they were in the low $20's.

In 1988, I had someone offer me $75K for my Ferrari 308 GTS that i paid $20K for in 1984, by 1991, the car was worth about $25K again.

I can recall some Ferraris that sold for 4-6 million $$ about 1988, that went for less than half of those prices in the early 1990's (ouch).

Even BB C2 Corvettes went sky high (at least in CA) in the late 1980's, then dropped by at least a 1/3 as the clones started appearing. I think it was Corvette Mike that i listened to rant about how all these 1967 427 cars he had that should be going for $90K, weren't selling at $75K.

Doug
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Old Mar 27, 2007 | 03:19 PM
  #34  
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The Baby Boomers (post WW2 babies from 1945-1960) represent 77 million of our nations 300 million citizens..roughly 1 in 4 people.... as they age they will sell their

1. Houses
2. Toys
3. Businesses
4. Stocks

Those Boomers born in 1945 turned 60 years old in 2005...
I look for Real Estate, Cars, and Businesses for sale to be at a
surplus in the next 15 years or longer..and thus a drop in price..
It will be a greater surplus than this nation has ever seen to this
date.The strain on our healthcare system and economy will be
greater also.

Real Estate tanked in Texas during the Oil Bust of the late 80's
early 90's...my hip shot guess is that this time the tanking will be
nationwide.. I hope Im wrong but I won't be buying any big properties
for a while.

Last edited by KyleDallas; Mar 27, 2007 at 03:28 PM.
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Old Mar 27, 2007 | 03:45 PM
  #35  
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From the late 60's to 83 I owned a 67 small block coupe. Paid a little over $3k to the original owner. Sold it & a 78 Pace Car for a Maserati Ghibli plus cash. Actually realized a 300% profit on the 67 and broke even on the Pace Car.
Had the Ghibli during the gold rush of the late 80's early 90's. Was offered huge money for the car by dealers. Didn't sell because the wife said "... it will keep going up." Well 6 months after the last offer the price went down faster than the Titanic. Spoke to a well respected foreign car dealer and asked what happened - answer - "Dealers were selling to dealers. Also Japanese and German buyers dropped out of the market because their economies went down the toilet."
Now I have my last 67 coupe and I am happy with it's market value. I didn't buy it to make $$$. I bought it to work on and have fun during retirement. It can go up or down but it will be in my garage until I forget where the garge is located.
The folks with more money than brains (there were a lot of them at Barrett Jackson) will try to outsmart themselves by buying something they think will turn a dollar instead of buying it because they want to enjoy it.
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Old Mar 27, 2007 | 03:51 PM
  #36  
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Originally Posted by KyleDallas
The Baby Boomers (post WW2 babies from 1945-1960) represent 77 million of our nations 300 million citizens..roughly 1 in 4 people.... as they age they will sell their

1. Houses
2. Toys
3. Businesses
4. Stocks
And when they die, their children will inherit their estates in the largest transfer of wealth our nation will have experienced. Flush with this wealth, these Baby Boomers' babies will purchase

1. Houses
2. Toys
3. Businesses
4. Stocks

And life will pretty much go on except without us.
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Old Mar 27, 2007 | 03:54 PM
  #37  
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Maybe it's time to sell.
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Old Mar 27, 2007 | 04:00 PM
  #38  
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Originally Posted by Tom/99
Maybe it's time to sell.
I am ready to buy
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Old Mar 27, 2007 | 04:04 PM
  #39  
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Originally Posted by nassau66427
And when they die, their children will inherit their estates in the largest transfer of wealth our nation will have experienced. Flush with this wealth, these Baby Boomers' babies will purchase

1. Houses
2. Toys
3. Businesses
4. Stocks

And life will pretty much go on except without us.
Draw your own conclusions.. but when I look at the number of qualified
buyers (age 30-50) vs. the number of people selling I see a huge
surplus.. the number of people selling vs. buying does not equal.
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Old Mar 27, 2007 | 04:37 PM
  #40  
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Default Lots Of Valid Points Made In This Post...........But.....

I just bought a high option 1966 Roadster for what I consider a very fair price. I bought the car to enjoy - not to see if I'll make a profit in less than a year. I paid cash for my car; and as a member of a large Corvette Club with over 200 members I can easily say that I don't know of anyone in my club that financed a Corvette of any vintage.
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