You said that "you heard". Being very specific, where did you hear this, and what are the credentials of the person you heard it from?

 

This makes sense since they were adjusting TPW as the strike went along, but now that it's officially over, it will be interesting to see if that date gets adjusted again since it was based on Oct.14 and hope the strike would end. On a brighter note, while it takes almost two months to get the line C8 ready and not building any cars (read not needing parts), that works out perfect for the suppliers to hire people back, catch up with parts needed for repairs, etc. On the other side of the coin, since they get parts just in time, they may have parts for a few days of C7 production before it goes into a holding pattern too. Time will tell.

 

If I get any updates, I'll post them as well. Have a great day, everyone, and know that things are rolling along again!

 

I'm still hoping for another consensus window to open up this Thursday........ I expect my order to get picked up in the next consensus. Anyone hear any news?

 

I’m not sure the Plant ever has enough parts on site to build 3 weeks worth of cars. Let’s hope the suppliers are able to ramp up and meet the ‘just in time’ schedule.

 

^^
From my experience they have suppliers deliver between a very narrow time slot, Just-In-Time!
SIDEBAR
Have an interesting experience re JIT! Back in the early 1980's our equipment plant with ~125,000 finished part numbers was being allowed to buy the 1st mainframe outside of the centrally located Corporate bank of mainframes kept 4 floors below ground in a central location! It was needed for the 8 hours it took to run an MPR product scheduling system

The plant was going to MRP (Materials Requirements Planning) developed by a fellow named Ollie White. Myself, the Division President and our Sales VP from Corporate Office had to go to an overview course given by Ollie "himself." When he described how with proper forecasting (my marketing functions job to consolidate and give to the plant) could define what parts were needed for each days production; what should be built in each workstation for future production etc, I asked if that was how automotive gets the right color seats and other accessories to match each car.

Ollie said nope! They use clout! They just say we'll give a seat supplier a day or two notice and "you will deliver these color seats between 1 and 2 PM on this day and if you don't their are two or more companies waiting to do it!" From my observation supplying automotive, including Tier 1 folks, is how it's done. Been out of daily production demand directly for 20 years since retirement so may be different BUT highly doubt GM will have more than a few days in inventory in Bowling Green!

BTW, MRP was probably the worst production system fostered on industry! When we became a leveraged buyout, pressured the plant into assemble-to-order (I had seen work at small competitors) and production cells where they had the product needed to make the key main products available in a dedicated cell versus a universal assembly line. (A good example was bolts. With MRP the assembly line might have 399 parts needed to make a product but missed specific bolts. With dedicated cells, a local hardware supplier filled up a two bin system every day on each cell when a bin was empty!) Having tried to consolidate sales generated forecasts for several years, realized if my Product Managers were that good at predicting the future I'd quite and pick horses! While the US was messing with those very complex, computer driven production scheduling system the Japanese and others were learning to manage with simple JIT systems!

 

Now there's a thought....
Or we could just keep guessing!!!!

 

Subscribed.

 

Quote 10/28: Hey folks. Pre-strike I had a first wave Torch Red Z51/FE4 on order with a 12/2 TPW. During the strike they adjusted my TPW to 2/3. When the TR constraint got floated on this forum I asked if my dealer if the order was in jeopardy. This AM they said no, constraints do not apply to orders already accepted, and they gave me a new TPW of 1/20. Seems like good news, no?

 

When did you last check your TPW?

 

@jagamajajaran Jeremy, he was quoting the OP from this thread: Encouraging feedback from dealer

 

Thanks!

My TPW was originally 12/2 and then 1/20 until last week as a result of the strike. I just checked about 15 minutes ago and it's at 2/3 now.

 

They seem to be moving in both directions. May be another week or two before these dates settle down.

 

 

I have a Torch Red C8 on order. My original TPW was 1/6 but during the strike MacMulkin notified me it had been pushed back to 2/10. A few minutes ago they again notified me it had been moved up to 2/3. This may or may not be the last adjustment as all the many production pieces are brought back into motion.

Have asked them how the Torch Red constraint rumor that is circulating may affect their orders.

 

A TR constraint doesn't surprise me. My local dealer has 75 allocations and said TR makes up a good 70% of the orders.

 

During strike my TPW was moved from 12/09 to 02/10 and as of today it has been moved again to 01/27.

 

If it's going to take 16 days to build 700 or so C7's, how will they manage to build 35,000 C8's in 9 or 10 months?

 

Just heard back from MacMulkin re the Torch Red constraint: "Since your order is already placed any new constraint would not impact your order." Hopefully this applies to everyone who has an order that has already been accepted.

 

Yeah getting you car built in late January to early Feburary 2020 (which will be the first batch) does not mean you car will be delivered in Feburary.....You are still going to get it sometime in March 2020...probably March 15-21....maybe even as late as April 1, 2020.

We just don't know....But we are getting close...