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Old Jan 6, 2021 | 02:50 PM
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Default Consensus Predictions

I know this is all a guessing game, but I need something to look forward to -- so three questions for the experienced folks:
1) When do you anticipate the Feb-Apr consensus to be released
2) Do you expect the total allocations to be higher or lower than they were for Nov-Jan (for the Big 3 dealers)
3) If a dealership received 6 total allocations for 2020 (Prior to COVID), and their Nov-Jan consensus was 0, do you anticipate they'll receive at least one for the Feb-Apr period?

Thanks for any insight (have not seen many posts regarding Consensus questions, only January allocations)!
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Old Jan 6, 2021 | 02:51 PM
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1) June
2) 0
3) - 10
I will now put away the crystal ball.
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Old Jan 6, 2021 | 03:33 PM
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Originally Posted by JVi
1) June
2) 0
3) - 10
I will now put away the crystal ball.
May as well throw it away because it's broken!





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Old Jan 6, 2021 | 03:40 PM
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Originally Posted by /Bear/
May as well throw it away because it's broken!

It's growing hair and needs a shave!
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Old Jan 6, 2021 | 03:46 PM
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Originally Posted by Jay Kilpatrick
I know this is all a guessing game, but I need something to look forward to -- so three questions for the experienced folks:
1) When do you anticipate the Feb-Apr consensus to be released
2) Do you expect the total allocations to be higher or lower than they were for Nov-Jan (for the Big 3 dealers)
3) If a dealership received 6 total allocations for 2020 (Prior to COVID), and their Nov-Jan consensus was 0, do you anticipate they'll receive at least one for the Feb-Apr period?

Thanks for any insight (have not seen many posts regarding Consensus questions, only January allocations)!
I don't consider myself "experienced," but since I was joking about the predictions @JVi gave (whose response made me laugh), I feel obligated to give it a shot:

1) January 21
2) Same
3) Yes



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Old Jan 6, 2021 | 05:38 PM
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Originally Posted by /Bear/
I don't consider myself "experienced," but since I was joking about the predictions @JVi gave (whose response made me laugh), I feel obligated to give it a shot:

1) January 21
2) Same
3) Yes
Thank you for sharing!
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Old Jan 7, 2021 | 12:20 PM
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Old Jan 7, 2021 | 01:16 PM
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Originally Posted by Broken Halo
Here's to hoping our small dealer gets an allocation in February
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Old Jan 7, 2021 | 01:33 PM
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Originally Posted by /Bear/
I don't consider myself "experienced," but since I was joking about the predictions @JVi gave (whose response made me laugh), I feel obligated to give it a shot:

1) January 21
2) Same
3) Yes
Thanks for your serious response. I agree with you and I might also add (1) could be January 14.
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