Is Electric the answer?
For an EV, it will vary with manufacturer and be subject to a lot of variables/software. For example, in a Tesla Model S Plaid, there’s a series of steps the driver must take to prepare the car for max acceleration. In a Lucid Air, you just mat the pedal and go, at any time.
Tesla has been known to make it appear they have a technical breakthrough when it’s really software updates that remove conservatism. Most EVs have a guarded range inaccessible to the user to protect the battery from actually going to 0% SOC (it might show 0% on the gauge but really has like 5-10% left). Tesla simply allows you to drain to the battery to 0% knowing marketing the actual range makes it more competitive on paper. There was even a time on certain trim levels you could buy more range over the air which allowed you to unlock more of the battery you already paid for and we’re lugging around.
Tesla has been known to make it appear they have a technical breakthrough when it’s really software updates that remove conservatism. Most EVs have a guarded range inaccessible to the user to protect the battery from actually going to 0% SOC (it might show 0% on the gauge but really has like 5-10% left). Tesla simply allows you to drain to the battery to 0% knowing marketing the actual range makes it more competitive on paper. There was even a time on certain trim levels you could buy more range over the air which allowed you to unlock more of the battery you already paid for and we’re lugging around.
It will be like Chevy Chase and Christmas Vacation!
The Best of Corvette for Corvette Enthusiasts
Hydrogen isn’t the answer. It takes electricity (lots of it) to produce hydrogen via electrolysis. After the losses to produce hydrogen from electricity then convert it back into electricity via a fuel cell, you’d be better off just staying with electricity.
Imho, it’s to be compared with batteries production/usage at the end.
It makes sense for sports cars with 33kWh per kg, way lighter than a battery.
it makes even more sense for planes and trucks (payload) which I believe will spearhead the H2 movement.
Imho, it’s to be compared with batteries production/usage at the end.
It makes sense for sports cars with 33kWh per kg, way lighter than a battery.
it makes even more sense for planes and trucks (payload) which I believe will spearhead the H2 movement.
In the end, H2 is good competition for the battery chemistry industry. We may see interesting things soon (cheap Sodium batteries, or badass graphene ones).
To me, ”hybrid” battery tech (different packs with different attributes) is the wtg (see Bimmer recent announcements)
Energy density has not improved for lithium batteries and batteries are pretty much the worst form of energy storage in moving vehicles. For a plane they ensure slow charging times, heavy weight that never gets lighter as you fly (requiring heavy landing gear and structure designed for full takeoff weight landings) and poor battery life (frequent deep charging cycles and fast charging). Electric battery powered planes are a dead end which is why there is a push for biofuels in aviation.
As mentioned before there’s a bit of a misconception in the image of improving energy density. Most manufacturer’s claim energy density gains that aren’t real such as reduction of “guarded” battery range, adding more cells, or making lighter battery pack packaging, improving motor efficiencies, aerodynamics, adding heat pumps in lieu of heat strips for improved winter range, etc, but in the end, the limitation is always the chemistry of the lithium battery itself which is stuck in the 1970’s.
Example, a brand new EV Hummer battery using GM touted newest Ultium platform weighs about 3000 lbs. A gas Hummer’s 32 gallon gas tank full of gas weighs less than 200 lbs. Lithium battery storage is no where close to be even remotely competitive in energy density.
In the end, H2 is good competition for the battery chemistry industry. We may see interesting things soon (cheap Sodium batteries, or badass graphene ones).
To me, ”hybrid” battery tech (different packs with different attributes) is the wtg (see Bimmer recent announcements)
Keep in mind the idea behind EVs is to reduce carbon emissions, but technology to make renewable fuel from anything from potatoes to lawn clippings with incredible energy density is possible on paper with zero emissions, but it’s the profit that’s the problem. If something doesn’t make money it doesn’t matter how great it is or how few emissions it makes.
Energy density has not improved for lithium batteries and batteries are pretty much the worst form of energy storage in moving vehicles. For a plane they ensure slow charging times, heavy weight that never gets lighter as you fly (requiring heavy landing gear and structure designed for full takeoff weight landings) and poor battery life (frequent deep charging cycles and fast charging). Electric battery powered planes are a dead end which is why there is a push for biofuels in aviation.
As mentioned before there’s a bit of a misconception in the image of improving energy density. Most manufacturer’s claim energy density gains that aren’t real such as reduction of “guarded” battery range, adding more cells, or making lighter battery pack packaging, improving motor efficiencies, aerodynamics, adding heat pumps in lieu of heat strips for improved winter range, etc, but in the end, the limitation is always the chemistry of the lithium battery itself which is stuck in the 1970’s.
Example, a brand new EV Hummer battery using GM touted newest Ultium platform weighs about 3000 lbs. A gas Hummer’s 32 gallon gas tank full of gas weighs less than 200 lbs. Lithium battery storage is no where close to be even remotely competitive in energy density.
https://www.businessinsider.com/air-...e-es-30-2022-9
https://www.businessinsider.com/air-...e-es-30-2022-9
This is green fluff for magazines. It’s basically the EV Chevy Spark of airplanes but from a no name manufacturer,
Last edited by Majestic94; Oct 5, 2022 at 07:55 PM.
This is green fluff for magazines. It’s basically the EV Chevy Spark of airplanes but from a no name manufacturer,
We get it… you hate electric technology, but no matter how many anti-electric posts you make, you cannot stop innovation. Nobody is investing in new ICE technology… everyone is investing in electric technology. Chrysler (Stellantis) is just introducing what is probably the last new ICE power train globally (the new inline 6). To answer the OP’s original question, even if electric isn’t the answer today, it likely will be in a single digit number of years. There is simply too much investment and innovation in generation, transmission and transportation technology for there to be any other outcome.
All of the 2035 EV mandates in states like California and New York are really nothing more than political theater as the transportation market will hit its tipping point long before then. Take the delta in EV adoption over the last three years and plot it as a straight line (which is conservative as new technologies are typically adopted exponentially once we get past the early adopter phase) and ask yourself what the market will look like.
We get it… you hate electric technology, but no matter how many anti-electric posts you make, you cannot stop innovation. Nobody is investing in new ICE technology… everyone is investing in electric technology. Chrysler (Stellantis) is just introducing what is probably the last new ICE power train globally (the new inline 6). To answer the OP’s original question, even if electric isn’t the answer today, it likely will be in a single digit number of years. There is simply too much investment and innovation in generation, transmission and transportation technology for there to be any other outcome.
All of the 2035 EV mandates in states like California and New York are really nothing more than political theater as the transportation market will hit its tipping point long before then. Take the delta in EV adoption over the last three years and plot it as a straight line (which is conservative as new technologies are typically adopted exponentially once we get past the early adopter phase) and ask yourself what the market will look like.
The delta plot on new EV adoption is as meaningless as a new religion being the “fastest growing”. It’s easy to double adoption rates when you start from 0.
Innovation in electric vehicles has gone nowhere. A commuter plane with half the range of an electric car? Wow. I hope there’s no head wind and it’s not cold outside. This is 1970’s technology only with an arbitrary zero emissions goal attached, otherwise it wouldn’t exist at all. Meanwhile aviation biofuels have seen far more interest and investment…
https://www.renewableenergymagazine....nable-20220804
Europe is looking at a 300% increase in electricity prices in less than a year. Imagine adding that to the EV airplane’s already unsustainable cost, The next decade is not going to be easy for electric startups.
Last edited by Majestic94; Oct 5, 2022 at 09:06 PM.
The delta plot on new EV adoption is as meaningless as a new religion being the “fastest growing”. It’s easy to double adoption rates when you start from 0.
Innovation in electric vehicles has gone nowhere. A commuter plane with half the range of an electric car? Wow. I hope there’s no head wind and it’s not cold outside. This is 1970’s technology only with an arbitrary zero emissions goal attached, otherwise it wouldn’t exist at all. Meanwhile aviation biofuels have seen far more internet and investment in this technology you thought was dead.
https://www.renewableenergymagazine....nable-20220804
Emissions pledges made in a period of great economic times with record bull markets, infinite venture capital, cheap loans; and stable economies cannot be assumed to continue when inflation is out of control, energy supplies are geopolitically constrained, record high interest rates, and low investment margins, Anyone who doesn’t diversify will not survive the next decade.
The Mustang and Wrangler examples are not new ICE technology… how long have those motors been around? The Stellantis I-6 (mainstream product) and the Z06 5.5 (niche product) are the only new ICE engines. No others are coming. Those will (likely) be on the market until the development costs have been recouped. Stellantis has a chance of doing that with the I-6 because it’s a volume product going in Wagoneers, Grand Cherokees and Ram pickups (eventually) but GM’s 5.5 will probably result in write offs unless they can put it in a high volume platform.















