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Old Jun 11, 2019 | 05:54 PM
  #281  
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Originally Posted by TXshaggy
You seem to cling to the notion that ALL annual Corvette sales are attributable to FE design and that 100% of those sales numbers will walk...that seems to be a stretch.

.
The ME Corvette at ~$70 base will sell 10K units annually after the first year. Unfortunately for BGA to be profitable, it needs to make 75K units annually so Corvette needs a FE in the $50-70K segment that will sell 30K units annually. That is still only half of the units BGA needs so additional products are essential -- maybe a Caddy or SUV. In any event, 10K ME units will not cut it.
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Old Jun 11, 2019 | 06:02 PM
  #282  
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Originally Posted by PCMIII
The ME Corvette at ~$70 base will sell 10K units annually after the first year. Unfortunately for BGA to be profitable, it needs to make 75K units annually so Corvette needs a FE in the $50-70K segment that will sell 30K units annually. That is still only half of the units BGA needs so additional products are essential -- maybe a Caddy or SUV. In any event, 10K ME units will not cut it.
Are those projections based on your opinion or based on some metric measure?

We can all agree that the C8 is coming and the FE is ending. What happens after 7/18/19 will play out in the years to come. Your crystal ball prognostications are simply based on your deep seated anger in the ME...why continue saying the same thing, not like GM will change course at this point, even if you post the same thing 1000 times.
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Old Jun 11, 2019 | 06:31 PM
  #283  
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Originally Posted by TXshaggy
Are those projections based on your opinion or based on some metric measure?

.
In 2017 there were 33K Corvettes produced of which 30% were Grand Sports that sold for ~$70 base. So typically Corvette can sell 10K units/yr of a ~$70 car. Of course many of those GS were manual trans cars which the ME won't offer. If the ME has a ~$70 base, it will typically sell 10K units/yr. which is far below what BGA needs to be profitable.

Of course if you have some other metrics to share, please provide them. You don't of course.
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Old Jun 11, 2019 | 06:57 PM
  #284  
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Originally Posted by PCMIII
In 2017 there were 33K Corvettes produced of which 30% were Grand Sports that sold for ~$70 base. So typically Corvette can sell 10K units/yr of a ~$70 car. Of course many of those GS were manual trans cars which the ME won't offer. If the ME has a ~$70 base, it will typically sell 10K units/yr. which is far below what BGA needs to be profitable.

Of course if you have some other metrics to share, please provide them. You don't of course.
Man you must be into numerology and cherry picking numbers to satisfy your arguments. I see you have the google fu to find the Corvette Action Center. What you fail to include is 6% GS verts, 19% Z06s, and 3% Z06 verts...if you add all above GS its almost 60% of production. So your napkin math doesn’t quite work here. 2019 will see almost 3000 Zrs between $120 - 150k. Regardless, you are conflating what is happening at the end of a C7 run and applying it to a new very exciting model...there is no data connection between the two, since no numbers have been generated by the C8.

Seems when you add up and establish an average 62k base C8 will be in the heart of the data..a mere 7k above the current base.

Have you considered buying stock in GM and attending a general shareholder meeting to voice your concerns?
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Old Jun 11, 2019 | 07:11 PM
  #285  
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Originally Posted by PCMIII
Unfortunately for BGA to be profitable, it needs to make 75K units annually so Corvette needs a FE in the $50-70K segment that will sell 30K units annually.

Source?
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Old Jun 11, 2019 | 07:11 PM
  #286  
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Originally Posted by TXshaggy
Man you must be into numerology and cherry picking numbers to satisfy your arguments. I see you have the google fu to find the Corvette Action Center. What you fail to include is 6% GS verts, 19% Z06s, and 3% Z06 verts...if you add all above GS its almost 60% of production. So your napkin math doesn’t quite work here. 2019 will see almost 3000 Zrs between $120 - 150k. Regardless, you are conflating what is happening at the end of a C7 run and applying it to a new very exciting model...there is no data connection between the two, since no numbers have been generated by the C8.

Seems when you add up and establish an average 62k base C8 will be in the heart of the data..a mere 7k above the current base.

Have you considered buying stock in GM and attending a general shareholder meeting to voice your concerns?
So what is your estimate of C8 production after the first year? Unless it is 40K+/yr, BGA will be in the same boat as Lordstown. That 40K/yr would also require that the C8 performs at least as well as the C7, which of course is not at all likely given that everything is completely new.
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Old Jun 11, 2019 | 07:23 PM
  #287  
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Originally Posted by OnPoint
Source?
Lordstown produced 5 times as many units as BGA in 2018 and GM closed it. The C8 cannot sell 10K units/year and keep BGA running.
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Old Jun 11, 2019 | 07:28 PM
  #288  
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Originally Posted by PCMIII
So what is your estimate of C8 production after the first year? Unless it is 40K+/yr, BGA will be in the same boat as Lordstown. That 40K/yr would also require that the C8 performs at least as well as the C7, which of course is not at all likely given that everything is completely new.
Personally don’t waste my time with such mental masturbation. Since I’m not a member of the GM leadership team NMP. I hope for the best and personally think it’ll exceed C7 numbers, if it doesn’t I won’t be shedding crocodile tears.

When the C8Z comes out I’ll give it a look. Been driving new Zs for 15 years and would love the new one to be a home run. When the time comes will always look at all options new/used that will satisfy my desires. Currently looking hard at 997.2 GT3 RS so new isn’t always the right choice for me.

You seem to be a Corvette enthusiast, perhaps more positivity is deserved to a hard working engineering team.
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Old Jun 11, 2019 | 07:37 PM
  #289  
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Originally Posted by roadbike56
Actually, the average new Corvette buyer's age went from 54 to 61 from 2004 to 2013, the years of the C6. When the C7 came out, that number has fluctuated but the last age reading that I could find now brings it down slightly to 59. The C7 did a great job of arresting the trend of the C6 years and slightly reversing it. If that trend had continued, the average age today would be something like 67.
The C7 didn't reverse it, demographics and the economy reversed it. The car is simply a reflection of both. The massive wealth accrual of their younger buyers' made it more affordable.

The car in this case, doesn't move the age numbers.

Last edited by Skid Row Joe; Jun 11, 2019 at 07:38 PM.
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Old Jun 11, 2019 | 07:45 PM
  #290  
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Originally Posted by PCMIII
Lordstown produced 5 times as many units as BGA in 2018 and GM closed it. The C8 cannot sell 10K units/year and keep BGA running.
What does Lordstown have to do with BGA profitability metrics?
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Old Jun 11, 2019 | 07:52 PM
  #291  
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Originally Posted by TXshaggy
Man you must be into numerology and cherry picking numbers to satisfy your arguments. I see you have the google fu to find the Corvette Action Center. What you fail to include is 6% GS verts, 19% Z06s, and 3% Z06 verts...if you add all above GS its almost 60% of production. So your napkin math doesn’t quite work here. 2019 will see almost 3000 Zrs between $120 - 150k. Regardless, you are conflating what is happening at the end of a C7 run and applying it to a new very exciting model...there is no data connection between the two, since no numbers have been generated by the C8.

Seems when you add up and establish an average 62k base C8 will be in the heart of the data..a mere 7k above the current base.

Have you considered buying stock in GM and attending a general shareholder meeting to voice your concerns?

So....where are you getting your "facts" regarding the 2019 model year production numbers and percentages?

GM has not released them as the 2019 model year Corvette is still being produced and GM can't release the final/total production numbers until the 2019 has stopped production.
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Old Jun 11, 2019 | 08:07 PM
  #292  
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Originally Posted by OnPoint
What does Lordstown have to do with BGA profitability metrics?
Well, lets see. Both are UAW plants located in the same midwest area. Both have been operating for many years under Chevy management. And most importantly, both were very under utilized in 2018. OTOH, one got the axe and the other didn't.
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Old Jun 11, 2019 | 08:14 PM
  #293  
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Originally Posted by Geoffrey Card
In which case I predict a huge number of sales will be lost. How are you going to go on a road trip with adequate luggage in a mid engined car?
I predict you will be wrong. Nuff' said.
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Old Jun 11, 2019 | 08:15 PM
  #294  
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OK - we started with this gem:

Originally Posted by PCMIII
Unfortunately for BGA to be profitable, it needs to make 75K units annually so Corvette needs a FE in the $50-70K segment that will sell 30K units annually.
To which I asked:

Originally Posted by OnPoint
Source?
To which you replied:

Originally Posted by PCMIII
Lordstown produced 5 times as many units as BGA in 2018 and GM closed it. The C8 cannot sell 10K units/year and keep BGA running.
To which I asked:

Originally Posted by OnPoint
What does Lordstown have to do with BGA profitability metrics?
To which you replied:

Originally Posted by PCMIII
Well, lets see. Both are UAW plants located in the same midwest area. Both have been operating for many years under Chevy management. And most importantly, both were very under utilized in 2018. OTOH, one got the axe and the other didn't.

So that's your source for asserting BGA must produce 75k units annually to be profitable?
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Old Jun 11, 2019 | 08:17 PM
  #295  
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Originally Posted by PCMIII
Well, lets see. Both are UAW plants located in the same midwest area. Both have been operating for many years under Chevy management. And most importantly, both were very under utilized in 2018. OTOH, one got the axe and the other didn't.
One produces a profitable car, the other didn’t.
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Old Jun 11, 2019 | 08:18 PM
  #296  
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Originally Posted by OnPoint

So that's your source for asserting BGA must produce 75k units annually to be profitable?
LMC Automotive
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Old Jun 11, 2019 | 08:20 PM
  #297  
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Originally Posted by JoesC5
So....where are you getting your "facts" regarding the 2019 model year production numbers and percentages?

GM has not released them as the 2019 model year Corvette is still being produced and GM can't release the final/total production numbers until the 2019 has stopped production.
Jose, calm down man. I was responding to PCMIII 2017 data, the rest I provided was from Corvette Action Center, I threw in ZR data that wasn’t available in 2017.

Now get off my lawn...lol. Too many angry old men on this forum.
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Old Jun 11, 2019 | 08:22 PM
  #298  
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Originally Posted by PCMIII
LMC Automotive

Mmmkay.
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Old Jun 11, 2019 | 08:34 PM
  #299  
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Originally Posted by PCMIII
The ME Corvette at ~$70 base will sell 10K units annually after the first year. Unfortunately for BGA to be profitable, it needs to make 75K units annually so Corvette needs a FE in the $50-70K segment that will sell 30K units annually. That is still only half of the units BGA needs so additional products are essential -- maybe a Caddy or SUV. In any event, 10K ME units will not cut it.
Well then the Corvette, FE, ME, or RE, is doneso, so this is all pointless. There is going to be no appreciable difference in sales at the same price point between FE and ME.

Know what else never sold a single Corvette? Being 600+hp. Until, of course, they actually made one. The ME will do fine.

Last edited by jefnvk; Jun 11, 2019 at 08:38 PM.
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Old Jun 11, 2019 | 11:39 PM
  #300  
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The ME C8, will sell like crazy. Curiosity seekers will be intrigued by the ME platform, and the Ferrariesque, look-alike aspects.

The FE C-Series releases were not a must see for the ME fanboys. Everyone will want to see about the ME C8.
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